// FOUNDER EXPERIMENT PICKER

Pick the experiment that fits your traffic.

Most founders default to A/B tests because they’re loudest. At your scale they almost never finish. Tell us your stage, your goal, and your traffic — get the experiment shape that actually concludes.

Your situation
Stage

Where are you in the journey?

Goal

What do you want to learn or move?

Traffic to the page or funnel you'd be testing. Use 0 if you don't have one yet.

Also worth considering
01

Wizard of Oz

Fake the system end to end if the workflow needs validation.

20–100 users you can serve manually. A simple landing/UI.

Buyer psychology
02

Smoke / fake-door landing

A fake-door landing for the next feature is cheap signal.

A budget for paid traffic, or one warm channel. ~200 visits is enough.

GTM engine
How this picks

Three inputs decide the shape of every founder experiment.

  • Stage. Pre-launch problems are demand and willingness-to-pay problems. Post-PMF problems are conversion, activation, and retention. The right experiment shape changes accordingly.
  • Goal. Validating demand or pricing wants money or click-through; lifting an existing metric wants statistical comparison. Different evidence, different instrument.
  • Traffic.A/B tests, behavior tests, and cohort retention all need a sample size to read a delta. Below the floor, qualitative methods are not a downgrade — they’re the right tool.

If the recommendation is an A/B test, your next stop is the sample-size reality check. It tells you whether the math actually works at your numbers — most of the time it doesn’t, which is exactly why this picker exists.

What this tool is not: a replacement for a hypothesis. The picker tells you what kind of experiment to run; you still have to write down the bet, the kill threshold, and the success bar before you start. The CRO field guide is the long-form version of that discipline.

Run this experiment in Xi.

A picker tells you what shape to run. Xi runs it: lock the hypothesis and kill threshold up front, track the metric automatically, and let agents call the verdict so you don’t drift into endless “just one more week.”